Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $1.13K
- Potential payout
- $8.37K
- Potential profit
- $7.24K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$2.04K
Polymarket Trader
delacroixk
0x5a5b31b342d5b09cf0a54815e78694323e3c1d91
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.13K
- Realized PnL
- $144.73
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.98
- Potential profit
- $4.98
- User PnL
- -$0.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.94
- Potential profit
- $4.94
- User PnL
- -$1.67
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.18
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.46
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $34.3
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.38
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.19
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.83
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
US strikes Iran by January 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.03
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$27.31
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 34% 3,699.24 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 34% 588.24 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 32% 132.47 shares
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes 41% 103.29 shares
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes 44% 103.3 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 45.9% 3,048.72 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 30% 896.97 shares
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes 42% 640.6 shares
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes 38.3% 318.84 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 15% 815.15 shares
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes 38% 321.76 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 15% 815.14 shares