No position
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $3.65K
- Potential payout
- $3.67K
- Potential profit
- $22.04
- User PnL
- $2.6K
Polymarket Trader
paghool
0x5a60bb0b393f8497faf6f07142e11877e8cd2a67
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.97K
- Realized PnL
- $5.86K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
No airdrop in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.86K
- Potential profit
- $2.86K
- User PnL
- -$397.24
No position
Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $223.81
- Potential payout
- $1.32K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$41.49
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- User PnL
- -$63.97
No position
Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $707.08
- Potential payout
- $988.93
- Potential profit
- $281.85
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $531.32
No position
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $347.28
- Potential payout
- $731.12
- Potential profit
- $383.84
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $280.31
No position
Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $706.97
- Potential profit
- $706.97
- User PnL
- -$92.33
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $603.11
- Potential profit
- $603.11
- User PnL
- -$36.51
Yes position
Will USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $588.88
- Potential profit
- $588.88
- User PnL
- -$252.98
No position
Will Neutrl launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 53%
- Current value
- $256.56
- Potential payout
- $484.08
- Potential profit
- $227.52
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- $64.82
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $428.14
- Potential profit
- $428.14
- User PnL
- -$68.5
No position
Will Multipli.fi launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $157.29
- Potential payout
- $379
- Potential profit
- $221.72
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $8.08
N
No position
Will Codex launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $64.77
- Potential payout
- $244.41
- Potential profit
- $179.64
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $20.37
N
No position
Will Squid launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $40.7
- Potential payout
- $214.2
- Potential profit
- $173.5
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- $8.77
No position
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $62.17
- Potential payout
- $168.25
- Potential profit
- $106.08
- Multiplier
- 2.71x
- User PnL
- $22.86
No position
Will Arcium launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $162.27
- Potential profit
- $162.27
- User PnL
- -$83.78
No position
Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $120.14
- Potential payout
- $161.26
- Potential profit
- $41.12
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $45.72
No position
Will Noble launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $123.3
- Potential payout
- $146.78
- Potential profit
- $23.48
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $17.9
N
No position
Will Codex launch a token by September 30, 2027?
Ends Oct 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $41.38
- Potential payout
- $131.36
- Potential profit
- $89.98
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- $11.68
No position
Will Symbiotic launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 25.8%
- Current value
- $33.18
- Potential payout
- $128.59
- Potential profit
- $95.41
- Multiplier
- 3.88x
- User PnL
- -$6.24
No position
Will Daylight launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $123.49
- Potential payout
- $124.55
- Potential profit
- $1.06
- User PnL
- $41.2
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by February 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $121.8
- Potential profit
- $121.8
- User PnL
- -$92.57
No position
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 14.4%
- Current value
- $14.47
- Potential payout
- $100.47
- Potential profit
- $86
- Multiplier
- 6.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.78
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $5.65
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $94.35
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$3.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $723.17
No position
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $425.66
No position
Will Daylight launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $410.35
Yes position
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $321.21
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $313.76
No position
Will Hotstuff launch a token by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $277.65
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $226.3
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: Airdrops Edition
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $215.84
No position
Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $183.27
No position
Will Decibel launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $161.7
No position
Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.64
Yes position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.52
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.22
No position
Over $4M committed to the Makina public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.39
No position
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.73
No position
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.92
Yes position
MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in the first hour?
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.11
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.32
Yes position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25?
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.76
No position
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $105.84
No position
Will Paradex launch a token by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.87
No position
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.91
No position
Evacuation of Tehran ordered in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.65
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Codex launch a token by December 31, 2027?No 18.2% 244.41 shares
- Will Codex launch a token by September 30, 2027?No 22.6% 131.36 shares
- Will Squid launch a token by September 30, 2026?No 14.9% 214.2 shares
- Will Multipli.fi launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 38.8% 280.57 shares
- Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2026?No 0.2% 784.75 shares
- Will Noble launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 71.8% 146.78 shares
- Will Symbiotic launch a token by December 31, 2027?No 30.7% 128.59 shares
- Will Symbiotic launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 89.4% 367.25 shares
- Will Noble launch a token by June 30, 2027?No 57.8% 123.69 shares
- Will Symbiotic launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 72% 383.07 shares
- Will Neutrl launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 40% 11.96 shares
- Will Neutrl launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 40% 112.76 shares