0x5a645340aA23381B4c12ce2809FCe7614E160Afd-1775373687922

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $9.99
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $3.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $8.61
Potential payout: $8.68
Potential profit: $0.08
User PnL: $2.61

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $8.45
Potential payout: $8.45
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.45

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 65.6%
Current value: $4.93
Potential payout: $7.52
Potential profit: $2.59
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $6.88
Potential payout: $7.52
Potential profit: $0.64
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.88

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 41.6%
Current value: $2.39
Potential payout: $5.75
Potential profit: $3.36
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $1.39

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $2.95
Potential payout: $5.1
Potential profit: $2.14
Multiplier: 1.73x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $4.27
Potential payout: $4.29
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $1.27

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 87.4%
Current value: $1.85
Potential payout: $2.12
Potential profit: $0.27
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on July 16?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.04
Potential payout: $2.04
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 16?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.04
Potential payout: $2.04
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on July 16?

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $1.99
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $0.91
Potential payout: $1.79
Potential profit: $0.88
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: -$0.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $1.22
Potential payout: $1.47
Potential profit: $0.25
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $1.41
Potential profit: $0.38
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $1.09
Potential payout: $1.39
Potential profit: $0.3
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 80.3%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $1.23
Potential profit: $0.24
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 16?

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $1.22
Potential profit: $0.21
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 16?

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $1.22
Potential profit: $0.18
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $1.21
Potential payout: $1.21
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $1.12
Potential payout: $1.2
Potential profit: $0.08
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $1.12
Potential payout: $1.19
Potential profit: $0.07
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $0.89
Potential payout: $1.18
Potential profit: $0.29
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$0.11

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $0.94
Potential payout: $1.16
Potential profit: $0.23
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$0.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.96

Up position

Solana Up or Down - May 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.13

Up position

Solana Up or Down - July 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.66

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.79

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.75

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.22

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET