Polymarket Trader

REEFA

0x5a6892589ee09db120f312a7c6cb6de29b4000b3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.55K
Realized PnL: $3.68K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 2
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $52.17
Potential payout: $6.96K
Potential profit: $6.9K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$782.61

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $125.56
Potential payout: $2.93K
Potential profit: $2.8K
Multiplier: 23.31x
User PnL: -$458.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.21K
Potential profit: $2.21K
User PnL: -$93.1

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $180.62
Potential payout: $1.76K
Potential profit: $1.58K
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$20.26

Yes position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.43K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $857.14
Potential payout: $857.14
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $257.14

No position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $4.74
Potential payout: $225.55
Potential profit: $220.82
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: -$159.92

No position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $89.68
Potential payout: $211.02
Potential profit: $121.34
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$11.61

No position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $103.06
Potential payout: $179.24
Potential profit: $76.18
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $9.86

No position

Will Burnley finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $139.36
Potential payout: $139.36
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $61.52

No position

Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.91
Potential profit: $19.91
User PnL: -$9.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.39K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.4% 1,762.11 shares
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 19.8% 692.49 shares
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 12% 3,823.87 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Yes 19% 10 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Yes 19% 1,578.95 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Yes 39% 1,282.05 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Yes 38.7% 1,290.79 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Yes 38% 1,315.79 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Up 5.2% 928.37 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Up 3.5% 1,279.64 shares
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

No 73% 6.28 shares
Will Burnley finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?

No 55.6% 22.52 shares