Yes position
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $84.67
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$11.52
Polymarket Trader
0x5A6C5d567C5CD9c5444F34A8E2593Fc87a6fC594-1767537606372
0x5a6c5d567c5cd9c5444f34a8e2593fc87a6fc594
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $84.67
- Realized PnL
- $323.43
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212.18
Yes position
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $67.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.8
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.64
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.5
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.99
No position
Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.81
No position
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.86
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
Yes position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
No position
Will Jamie Dimon be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will Jimmy Kimmel be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.38
No position
Will Anderson Cooper be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Chuck Schumer be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Joe Biden be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.71
No position
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$10.31
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?Yes 9% 436.58 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 96.1% 81 shares
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Yes 9.5% 195.55 shares
- Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?Yes 0.1% 25,172.9 shares
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Yes 4.3% 24.33 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No 94% 180 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No 78% 80 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No 82% 100 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 82% 84 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Yes 70.2% 78.38 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 81% 68.18 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 88% 68.18 shares