Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $35.72
- Potential payout
- $549.52
- Potential profit
- $513.8
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$52.45
Polymarket Trader
0x5A764B742b41F221FCFCde4104E0b7dE59a09f06-1770484802861
0x5a764b742b41f221fcfcde4104e0b7de59a09f06
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $37.09
- Realized PnL
- $19.81
- Win rate
- 30%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $0.69
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $11.81
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $0.29
- Potential payout
- $7.92
- Potential profit
- $7.63
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- -$0.74
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $0.4
- Potential payout
- $6.12
- Potential profit
- $5.72
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on February 9?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.41
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.31
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
Down position
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.08
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.44
Yes position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.55
Up position
Gold (GC) Up or Down on February 2?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.55
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.78
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.82
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?Yes 3.7% 75.51 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?Yes 2.6% 55.38 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 19% 219.68 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 19% 109.32 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?Yes 0.5% 564 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 14.9% 35.97 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 11% 184.55 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down on February 9?Up 99.9% 26.5 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down on February 9?Up 4% 26.5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on February 7?Down 92% 2.5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on February 7?Down 40% 2.5 shares
- Trump approval Up or Down this week?Down 89% 1.12 shares