No position
Will Gabriel Fernando Indi win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $4.14
- Potential payout
- $4.25
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Polymarket Trader
Alaric03J
0x5a7827f158cfb6af5b8f536673074fb10e4172a7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.14
- Realized PnL
- $2.31
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will o3-mini be better than DeepSeek before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Meta (META) close above $640 on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Honda and Nissan merger announced before February?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Ethena reach $0.28 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of December 1 above $520?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $460-$470 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will the price of XRP be less than $2.00 on October 26?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
CS2 market cap reaches 6 billion again by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the price of Solana be between $200 and $210 on October 23?
Ends Oct 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will AUR win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?
Ends Dec 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Trump deport Elon Musk in 2025?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the price of XRP be greater than $2.90 on October 18?
Ends Oct 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Airbnb (ABNB) finish week of November 17 above $105?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Argentina dollarize in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Bill Clinton in jail by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Ethena reach $0.28 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Simon Harris be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?
Ends Nov 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
State wide recount in Presidential Election?
Ends Dec 17, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Meta (META) close at $650-$660 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Gabriel Fernando Indi win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?No 99.9% 4.25 shares
- Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?No 92.6% 4.81 shares
- Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?No 97.7% 4.81 shares
- Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No 99.2% 11.25 shares
- Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No 98.7% 11.26 shares
- Will Ethena reach $0.28 in March?No 99% 11.11 shares
- Will Meta (META) close above $640 on March 16?No 98.8% 11 shares
- Will Ethena reach $0.28 in February?No 99.8% 10.87 shares
- Will Mia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?No 97.9% 11.08 shares
- Will Mia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?No 99.6% 11.08 shares
- CS2 market cap reaches 6 billion again by January 31, 2026?No 99.5% 11.05 shares
- Bill Clinton in jail by January 31?No 99.8% 11.01 shares