Polymarket Trader

gonnakilmyslf

0x5a7f8df634f7ab59ce94b970f5b2ad20770d6413

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $432.34
Realized PnL: $13.78
Win rate: 30%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $4.34
Potential payout: $109.99
Potential profit: $105.65
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: $1.23

Yes position

Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $34.43
Potential payout: $85
Potential profit: $50.58
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$1.72

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 15, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.46
Potential payout: $77
Potential profit: $76.54
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$5.34

Yes position

Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $7.69
Potential payout: $76.88
Potential profit: $69.19
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: $1.1

Yes position

Will Studio Ghibli announce a new project at SDCC 2026?

Ends Jul 26, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $15.37
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $59.63
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $3.87

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $43.75
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $26.25
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$2.95

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 19, 2026?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $10.4
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $54.6
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$5.09

Yes position

Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $31.2
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $28.8
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will fewer than 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $50.1
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $9.9
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$3.3

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $27.9
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $32.1
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $27.6
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $32.4
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 20?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $59.49
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $0.51
User PnL: $5.79

Yes position

Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $18.6
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $41.4
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 9.4%
Current value: $5.61
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $54.39
Multiplier: 10.70x
User PnL: -$5.85

Yes position

Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $6.6
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $53.4
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $5.1
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $54.9
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$0.9

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 20?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $59.52
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$3.12

Yes position

Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $1.47
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $58.53
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $17.7
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $42.3
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $11.1
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $48.9
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $21
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $39
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $20.1
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $39.9
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $0.9

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 21?

Ends Jul 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $59.85
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$2.37

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $11.7
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $48.3
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $0.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $18

Yes position

Will Prime Video announce a new project at SDCC 2026?

Ends Jul 26, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $16.6

No position

Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.7%
Multiplier: 7.91x
User PnL: $15.48

No position

Thermo Fisher (TMO) Q2 organic revenue growth (non-GAAP) 4%+?

Ends Jul 23, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $0

No position

ICE Agent charged in Maine incident by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$1.96

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75%
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: -$3.13

Yes position

Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65%
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: -$4.2

Yes position

Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64.2%
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: -$6.66

Yes position

Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$8.7

No position

Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 19, 2026?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: -$11.65

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 58.2% 10 shares