No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.14K
- Potential profit
- $7.14K
- User PnL
- -$21.43
Polymarket Trader
3863
0x5a80af698825a1e373e68aafa6c8a1bed3c79608
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $310.69
- Realized PnL
- $2.28K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.38K
- Potential profit
- $5.38K
- User PnL
- -$25.68
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $101.47
- Potential payout
- $2.94K
- Potential profit
- $2.84K
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- $66.48
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.67K
- Potential profit
- $2.67K
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Curaçao 2 - 0 Côte d'Ivoire?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.7K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $21.44
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.28K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$7.91
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 3 Japan?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $1.22K
- User PnL
- -$20
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Iraq?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $909.09
- Potential profit
- $909.09
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $18.86
- Potential payout
- $742.65
- Potential profit
- $723.78
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- $6.86
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $38.11
- Potential payout
- $640.51
- Potential profit
- $602.4
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- -$12.39
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Curaçao 3 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $625
- User PnL
- -$5
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Curaçao 2 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $588.24
- Potential profit
- $588.24
- User PnL
- -$10
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 2 Curaçao?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $555.56
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $540.28
- Potential profit
- $540.28
- User PnL
- -$16
Yes position
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $423.53
- Potential profit
- $423.53
- User PnL
- -$6.5
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.8%
- Current value
- $68.78
- Potential payout
- $410.6
- Potential profit
- $341.83
- Multiplier
- 5.97x
- User PnL
- $12.78
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $5.19
- Potential payout
- $384.62
- Potential profit
- $379.42
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $4.46
- Potential payout
- $357.14
- Potential profit
- $352.68
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $21.92
- Potential payout
- $339.8
- Potential profit
- $317.89
- Multiplier
- 15.50x
- User PnL
- $3.92
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.8%
- Current value
- $22.9
- Potential payout
- $339.22
- Potential profit
- $316.32
- Multiplier
- 14.81x
- User PnL
- -$14.1
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 2 Ghana?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $322.58
- Potential profit
- $322.58
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $7.55
- Potential payout
- $321.43
- Potential profit
- $313.88
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $308.63
- Potential profit
- $308.63
- User PnL
- -$17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Cabo Verde?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.63
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 3 Egypt?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165.44
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 3 Morocco?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.93
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 0 Korea Republic?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.42
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.11
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 3 Colombia?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 3 Mexico?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.27
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 DR Congo?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.11
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Canada?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Iraq?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.52
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Norway?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Algeria?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.9
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.91
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 2 Algeria?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.81
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Algeria?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.81
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Panama 0 - 1 Croatia?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.33
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 Korea Republic?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.41
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.92
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Japan 1 - 1 Sweden?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.92
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Austria?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.92
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Australia?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.92
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Haiti?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.43
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 1 France?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.43
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Austria 3 - 1 Jordan?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Belgium?Yes 9% 111.11 shares
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Belgium?Yes 8% 187.5 shares
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Belgium?Yes 8% 187.5 shares
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Belgium?Yes 6% 166.67 shares
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Belgium?Yes 14% 71.43 shares
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Spain?Yes 11% 90.91 shares
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Spain?Yes 7% 214.29 shares
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Spain?Yes 11% 136.36 shares
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Spain?Yes 13% 76.92 shares
- Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 England?Yes 6% 250 shares
- Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 England?Yes 9% 166.67 shares
- Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 England?Yes 8% 250 shares