Polymarket Trader

0x5a89...df45

0x5a89be5a895d0abef71a140552db79c4fc3bdf45

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $122.76
Realized PnL: $179.72
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $3.11
Potential payout: $21.43
Potential profit: $18.32
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$2.89

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $7.03
Potential payout: $13.51
Potential profit: $6.48
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 84.8%
Current value: $9.94
Potential payout: $11.73
Potential profit: $1.79
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $3.96

No position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $10.88
Potential payout: $10.9
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $4.89

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $10.58
Potential payout: $10.6
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $5.81

No position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $4.68
Potential payout: $10.52
Potential profit: $5.84
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $5.65
Potential payout: $10.17
Potential profit: $4.53
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 40%
Current value: $3.86
Potential payout: $9.65
Potential profit: $5.79
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $9.43
Potential payout: $9.61
Potential profit: $0.18
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $4.63

No position

Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $4.82
Potential payout: $8.92
Potential profit: $4.1
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 71.4%
Current value: $6.2
Potential payout: $8.69
Potential profit: $2.49
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $3.42

Yes position

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $4.98
Potential payout: $8.37
Potential profit: $3.39
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$0.96

No position

Will Donald Trump announce Keith Sonderling as the next United States Labor Secretary

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $5.12
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $2.88
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: $1.68

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $1.36
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $6.64
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$0.72

No position

SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $6.39
Potential payout: $7.89
Potential profit: $1.5
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $0.39

No position

Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $7.81
Potential profit: $4.06
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: $0.86

No position

Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $5.88
Potential payout: $7.59
Potential profit: $1.71
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $2.78
Potential payout: $7.5
Potential profit: $4.73
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: $1.13

No position

Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $7.01
Potential payout: $7.5
Potential profit: $0.49
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $1.01

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $3.23
Potential payout: $7.42
Potential profit: $4.19
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $1.37
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $5.64
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Safepoint's market cap be between $900M and $1.1B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $6.87
Multiplier: 55.56x
User PnL: -$2.04

Yes position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $6.94
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$1.41

No position

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $4.53
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $1.72
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: -$0.47

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.76

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.55

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.21

Yes position

Will Warsh say "Trend" during June Press Conference?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.53

Down position

Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on February 17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.08

Over position

England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.95

No position

Will Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.92

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.92

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.92

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.91

No position

Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.25 Week of May 11 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.9

Yes position

Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.9

Yes position

Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.89

No position

Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.89

Yes position

Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.89

Yes position

Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.84

Yes position

Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd not IPO before June 2026?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.76

Yes position

Will Encore Medical not IPO before June 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.75

Down position

Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on February 17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.71

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.93

Up position

Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on April 13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.92

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.91

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5

Over 25% 8 shares
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Yes 26% 7.69 shares
Spread: England (-1.5)

England 32% 6.25 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-17?

No 43% 4.65 shares
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5

Over 47% 4.26 shares
England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score

Yes 49% 4.08 shares
England vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5

Over 72% 2.78 shares
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Yes 79% 6 shares
Maghreb AS de Fès vs. Difaâ Hassani El Jadida: Both Teams to Score

Yes 45% 4.44 shares
Maghreb AS de Fès vs. Difaâ Hassani El Jadida: O/U 1.5

Over 69% 2.9 shares
UnionTouargaSports vs. COD Meknès: O/U 1.5

Over 62% 3.23 shares
Will Warsh say "All-Time High" or "All-Time Low" during June Press Conference?

No 65% 3.05 shares