Yes position
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $99.44
- Potential payout
- $251.74
- Potential profit
- $152.31
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Polymarket Trader
xzydnl99
0x5a9d7889dd1fe982cba9c175881c18ff43957971
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $371.08
- Realized PnL
- $916.81
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $113.22
- Potential payout
- $248.84
- Potential profit
- $135.62
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$36.78
Yes position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $61.78
- Potential payout
- $220.65
- Potential profit
- $158.87
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$38.22
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $96.64
- Potential payout
- $97.76
- Potential profit
- $1.12
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $52.11
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $81.97
- Potential profit
- $81.97
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$15
Under position
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.91
- Potential profit
- $31.91
- User PnL
- -$15
Senegal position
Spread: France (-1.5)
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.59
- Potential profit
- $24.59
- User PnL
- -$15
Iraq position
Spread: Norway (-1.5)
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.39
- Potential profit
- $24.39
- User PnL
- -$10
Under position
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.19
- Potential profit
- $24.19
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.86
- Potential profit
- $17.86
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$3.59
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $235.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C or below on April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C or below on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.1
Yes position
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.46
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.63
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.91
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C or below on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.52
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 19°C or below on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.4
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.51
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.44
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.66
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.85
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $7.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.82
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 39% 251.74 shares
- Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 39.7% 503.48 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Yes 67% 14.93 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 94% 1,000 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 36% 555.56 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 56% 178.57 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 66% 66.66 shares
- Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?Yes 27% 106.45 shares
- Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 33.7% 82.17 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 51% 73.17 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 43% 152.17 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 55% 363.64 shares