Yes position
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $98.77K
- Potential profit
- $98.77K
- User PnL
- -$98.77
Polymarket Trader
0x5AA1ad6163AD7357FA6e22efac5188B3dF88d9B7-1773062321047
0x5aa1ad6163ad7357fa6e22efac5188b3df88d9b7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $49.1K
- Realized PnL
- $34.46K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.4%
- Current value
- $13.07K
- Potential payout
- $67.54K
- Potential profit
- $54.47K
- Multiplier
- 5.17x
- User PnL
- $1.99K
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $8.48K
- Potential payout
- $61.21K
- Potential profit
- $52.73K
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.49K
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $2.66K
- Potential payout
- $49.78K
- Potential profit
- $47.12K
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$36.54
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $2.66K
- Potential payout
- $49.66K
- Potential profit
- $47K
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$1.84K
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.3%
- Current value
- $7.54K
- Potential payout
- $49.45K
- Potential profit
- $41.91K
- Multiplier
- 6.56x
- User PnL
- $3.18K
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.6%
- Current value
- $5.17K
- Potential payout
- $48.99K
- Potential profit
- $43.82K
- Multiplier
- 9.48x
- User PnL
- -$514.53
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.9%
- Current value
- $3.7K
- Potential payout
- $47.12K
- Potential profit
- $43.42K
- Multiplier
- 12.74x
- User PnL
- -$519.02
Yes position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.63K
- Potential profit
- $40.63K
- User PnL
- -$15.97K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.94K
- Potential profit
- $34.94K
- User PnL
- -$3.28K
Yes position
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.6K
- Potential profit
- $33.6K
- User PnL
- -$3.12K
Yes position
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.19K
- Potential profit
- $33.19K
- User PnL
- -$2.55K
Yes position
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.66K
- Potential profit
- $30.66K
- User PnL
- -$3.7K
Yes position
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29K
- Potential profit
- $29K
- User PnL
- -$3.48K
Yes position
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.41K
- Potential profit
- $27.41K
- User PnL
- -$989.97
Yes position
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.29K
- Potential profit
- $27.29K
- User PnL
- -$752.97
Yes position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.84K
- Potential profit
- $26.84K
- User PnL
- -$1.26K
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $1.25K
- Potential payout
- $21.89K
- Potential profit
- $20.65K
- Multiplier
- 17.54x
- User PnL
- $398.02
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $245.65
- Potential payout
- $7.12K
- Potential profit
- $6.87K
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- -$17.67
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.1%
- Current value
- $891.01
- Potential payout
- $5.92K
- Potential profit
- $5.03K
- Multiplier
- 6.64x
- User PnL
- -$108.99
Yes position
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $1.46K
- Potential payout
- $4.24K
- Potential profit
- $2.78K
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$338.79
Yes position
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.3%
- Current value
- $1.1K
- Potential payout
- $2.07K
- Potential profit
- $965.13
- Multiplier
- 1.88x
- User PnL
- $314.03
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.9%
- Current value
- $428.66
- Potential payout
- $2.06K
- Potential profit
- $1.63K
- Multiplier
- 4.80x
- User PnL
- -$83.34
Yes position
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $450.66
- Potential payout
- $2.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- Multiplier
- 4.56x
- User PnL
- -$49.34
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.05K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $714.21
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $707.77
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $529.38
Yes position
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $375
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $318.22
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $304.38
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $302.46
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $279.6
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $245.43
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 13.6%
- Multiplier
- 7.38x
- User PnL
- $229.96
Yes position
Will Iran strike Iraq again in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.08
Yes position
Will Iran strike Syria in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $55.45
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $51.59
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $44.65
Yes position
Will Iran strike Oman again in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.94
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.26
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.98
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 6.8%
- Multiplier
- 14.81x
- User PnL
- $10.87
Yes position
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.28
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- $8
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.81
Up position
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.18
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.94
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13.9% 2,517.99 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.7% 3,508.77 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13.9% 2,158.27 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 19.8% 3,030.3 shares
- Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes 15% 2,934.47 shares
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.4% 21,894.4 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.7% 7,120.37 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.6% 4,166.67 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.6% 11,666.67 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.7% 5,607.48 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.5% 8,649.1 shares
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 4.6% 6,521.74 shares