No position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $73.24
- Potential payout
- $97
- Potential profit
- $23.77
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $24.74
Polymarket Trader
0x5ac1...b9fb
0x5ac1f7f4123fc8db8c845556a5ffea46a153b9fb
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $109.72
- Realized PnL
- $32.7
- Win rate
- 54.5%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $4.41
- Potential payout
- $42
- Potential profit
- $37.59
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$10.71
Yes position
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $4.1
- Potential payout
- $39
- Potential profit
- $34.91
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$6.44
Yes position
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $1.17
- Potential payout
- $26
- Potential profit
- $24.83
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.69
Yes position
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $10.5
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $1.49
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $7.52
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.49
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $5.8
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $2.2
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $1.84
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $7.72
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $0.28
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.4%
- Current value
- $5.97
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $1.03
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
No position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $4.33
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.67
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $36.15
No position
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $15.82
No position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.62
No position
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$4.44
Yes position
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$14.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 22% 9 shares
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?No 84% 16 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No 94.1% 8 shares
- Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 11% 26 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 49.5% 8 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 50.6% 5 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 96% 7 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No 93.5% 6 shares
- Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?No 97.2% 5 shares
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?No 86% 7 shares
- Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?No 76% 5 shares
- Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 24% 15 shares