Anthropic position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $256.04
- Potential payout
- $346
- Potential profit
- $89.96
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $48.44
Polymarket Trader
d-a-i
@AshlinArch7551
0x5ae0662abd87b70ab7d4f5e5a9bbf7d3c5404590
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $296.39
- Realized PnL
- $2.42K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Wes Moore announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $20.79
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $1.21
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $4.95
No position
Makina FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $17.75
- Potential payout
- $21
- Potential profit
- $3.25
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $5.78
Yes position
Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $1.13
- Potential payout
- $5.15
- Potential profit
- $4.02
- Multiplier
- 4.56x
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $0.69
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $0.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2025-12-21?
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $660.96
Under position
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.65
Y
Yes position
Will Pete Carroll be fired by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.79
Yes position
Will The Weeknd perform at the 2026 Grammy Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $124.83
Yes position
Will Ciprian Ciucu get between 35% and 40% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.07
No position
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.95
Yes position
Will Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $97.86
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $86.26
Yes position
Will Christian Menefee win the Texas House special election runoff by 15% or more?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.1
Yes position
Will Bayer Leverkusen advance to the round of 16?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.48
Yes position
Will Blue Prince win Most Innovative Gameplay in the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $82.62
Yes position
Will Real Madrid advance to the round of 16?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.26
No position
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $71
R
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid position
Spread: Real Oviedo (-1.5)
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.48
Yes position
Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times in Rome, GA on February 19?
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.64
No position
Foreign intervention in Gaza by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.05
Yes position
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $47.52
No position
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $46.56
Yes position
Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-03-07?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- $46.24
No position
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39
No position
Will Efecto be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.27
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025–2026 NBA Northwest Division?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.38
No position
Will VirtualBacon win the Defi App trading competition?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.98
No position
Will the Gaza–Israel conflict be the #1 searched news on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 27% 244 shares
- Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 29% 244 shares
- 5kt meteor strike in 2026?No 56% 675 shares
- Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?No 68% 264 shares
- Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?No 62% 264 shares
- OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?No 34% 445 shares
- Will BIG qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026?No 19% 19 shares
- Will BIG qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026?No 19% 21 shares
- Will BIG qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026?No 18% 23 shares
- Will BIG qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026?No 83% 63 shares
- 5kt meteor strike in 2026?No 64% 675 shares
- OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?No 37% 445 shares