Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $210K
- Potential profit
- $210K
- User PnL
- -$297.36
Polymarket Trader
jayceee
0x5ae56cbb75e93991d871e3f9a7ef6088702168e1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $235.86
- Realized PnL
- $12.02K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $210K
- Potential profit
- $210K
- User PnL
- -$210.21
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200K
- Potential profit
- $200K
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $100K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $50K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $50K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $50K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $30K
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.82K
- Potential profit
- $26.82K
- User PnL
- -$26.82
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $30
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $19.97K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$170
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $19.99K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$190
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $130
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $19.87K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$70
Yes position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $19.99K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$190
Yes position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $35
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.96K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$65
Yes position
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $20.86
- Potential payout
- $1.26K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $8.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.38K
Yes position
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $904.36
No position
Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $825
Yes position
Will Trump say 'Greenland' during the 2025 State of the Union?
Ends Mar 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $568
Yes position
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $491.66
Yes position
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $411.47
Yes position
Will Biden pardon Adam Schiff?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $410.2
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $95k in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $359.38
Yes position
Will Biden pardon Fauci?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $306.03
Yes position
Will Trump say 'China' 5+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?
Ends Mar 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $244.63
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $243.66
Yes position
Will Trump say 'Mexico' 5+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?
Ends Mar 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $226
Yes position
Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $222.9
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $221.33
Yes position
Will Biden pardon Adam Kinzinger?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212.49
Yes position
Will Trump say 'Panama' during the 2025 State of the Union?
Ends Mar 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.95
Yes position
Will Trump say 'Russia' 3+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?
Ends Mar 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.34
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $111.78
Yes position
Will Trump say 'trans' during the 2025 State of the Union?
Ends Mar 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.98
Yes position
Trump deportation executive order on Day 1?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.03
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $95.03
Yes position
Will John Curtis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.73
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Crypto Summit on Friday?
Ends Mar 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.27
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $94.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 6.8% 19,027.98 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $130K in August?Yes 0.1% 295.24 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?Yes 2% 3,507.58 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?Yes 0.7% 982.01 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $130K in August?Yes 0.5% 1,263.72 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?Yes 0.7% 755 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?Yes 0.8% 1,208 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?Yes 0.6% 746.73 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July?Yes 0.2% 9,987.16 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $140K in July?Yes 0.4% 14,332.29 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July?Yes 0.4% 1,005.48 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $140K in July?Yes 0.3% 780 shares