Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?
Ends Jul 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $34.51
- Potential payout
- $45.7
- Potential profit
- $11.2
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $9.83
Polymarket Trader
0x5aed...3f8e
0x5aed52743612c14e0aafe91c6450274f43a83f8e
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $34.51
- Realized PnL
- -$2.85
- Win rate
- 61.5%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.67
Down position
Solana Up or Down - February 26, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17
Down position
XRP Up or Down on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 2PM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 27?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 3PM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 27?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.31
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on February 27?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.04
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.89
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes 54% 45.7 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 88% 29.7 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 79% 29.71 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No 52% 17.31 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No 60% 13.51 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No 37% 13.51 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETUp 51% 5.7 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 77.1% 3.38 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 59% 3.39 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?Yes 99.2% 2.02 shares
- XRP Up or Down on February 28?Down 99.8% 1.96 shares
- XRP Up or Down on February 28?Down 51% 1.96 shares