Polymarket Trader

0x5aed8024E05521c63236195817C7219Dd50C21e7-1778472212337

0x5aed8024e05521c63236195817c7219dd50c21e7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $76.19
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Trump visit China by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or higher on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $671.85
Potential profit: $671.85
User PnL: -$15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $312.5
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $263.16
Potential profit: $263.16
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $12.21
Potential payout: $192.31
Potential profit: $180.1
Multiplier: 15.75x
User PnL: $2.21

Conor McGregor position

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $33.96
Potential payout: $104.5
Potential profit: $70.54
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $3.96

Yes position

Will France win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84.75
Potential profit: $84.75
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80.09
Potential profit: $80.09
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.01
Potential profit: $79.01
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $2.84
Potential payout: $68.49
Potential profit: $65.65
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$2.16

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $8.43
Potential payout: $61.73
Potential profit: $53.3
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$1.57

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $10.81
Potential payout: $55.87
Potential profit: $45.06
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $0.81

Yes position

Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.68
Potential profit: $39.68
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $27.03
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $26.32
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 19-25?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24
Potential profit: $24
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 22.6%
Current value: $3.6
Potential payout: $15.91
Potential profit: $12.31
Multiplier: 4.42x
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.64
Potential profit: $10.64
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $4.35
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $3.35
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$0.65

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Conor McGregor 28.7% 104.5 shares
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Yes 37.7% 15.91 shares
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 19-25?

Yes 25% 24 shares
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?

Yes 3.7% 27.03 shares
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?

Yes 19% 79.01 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 12?

Yes 19% 26.32 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Yes 26% 19.23 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or higher on May 9?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?

Yes 2.2% 671.85 shares
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 65% 7.69 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on May 11?

Yes 6.2% 80.09 shares
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 12.6% 39.68 shares