Polymarket Trader

elcesianomejorado

0x5af297ac611b62eb23cc97f27618180601e05a5b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $106.49
Realized PnL: $135.88
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $59.99
Potential profit: $59.96
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C or higher on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$49.4

No position

Will Cadillac have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 26, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $43.02
Potential payout: $44.72
Potential profit: $1.7
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$1.16

Yes position

Will "Backrooms" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.69
Potential profit: $33.69
User PnL: -$1.78

Yes position

Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $1.63
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $23.38
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.38

No position

Will Cadillac get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 25, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $23.87
Potential payout: $24.72
Potential profit: $0.85
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.52

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $3.32
Potential payout: $24
Potential profit: $20.68
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: $1.28

Yes position

Will Red Bull have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.92
Potential profit: $20.92
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Anton Stach be included in Germany's official 2026 World Cup squad list?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2

No position

Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $18
User PnL: -$1.01

Novak Djokovic position

Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.99
Potential profit: $10.99
User PnL: -$1.32

No position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.5
Potential profit: $10.5
User PnL: -$1.68

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.27
Potential profit: $10.27
User PnL: -$1.34

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 10.4%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.97
Multiplier: 9.66x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5.45

Yes position

Will Ariana Grande feature Nicki Minaj on Petal?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.95
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Juan Manuel Cerundolo position

Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.96
Potential profit: $8.96
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.09

No position

Will Tgr Haas get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 25, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $8.38
Potential payout: $8.72
Potential profit: $0.34
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.17

No position

Will Williams get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 25, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $8.37
Potential payout: $8.72
Potential profit: $0.35
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.17

No position

Will Aston Martin get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 25, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $8.42
Potential payout: $8.72
Potential profit: $0.3
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

Will Williams have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 26, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $8.36
Potential payout: $8.72
Potential profit: $0.36
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.18

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri achieve the fastest lap in Practice 2 at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on March 27?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.79

Yes position

Will The Wizard of Oz at Sphere win the PGA Innovation Award at the 37th PGA Awards?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.31

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Yes position

Will Emiliano Martínez be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.97

No position

Will Hanwha Life Esports make a roster change before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C or higher on March 18?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on March 20?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.7

Yes position

Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1440.00 and 1459.99 at the end of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.3

Yes position

Will Mark Zuckerberg attend Super Bowl LX?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.24

Yes position

Will "MAYHEM - Lady Gaga" win Best Pop Vocal Album at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.06

Yes position

Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.28

Yes position

Will monthly inflation be 3.2% or higher in January?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4

No position

Over 400 US flights cancelled on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will Adolescence: The Making of Adolescence win Best Short-Form Program at the 37th PGA Awards?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

No position

Will the number of US flights delayed on April 9 be between 5,000 and 5,500?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.9

Yes position

Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-04-19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.54

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.41

Yes position

Will Colombia go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.31

No position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.1

Yes position

Will Fnatic win the LEC 2026 Versus?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.93

No position

Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on February 19?

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.61

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the announcers say "Convert" during the Argentina vs Switzerland FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 20% 5.2 shares
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Yes 20.7% 21 shares
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?

No 98% 5 shares
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?

Yes 10.2% 10 shares
Will Cadillac get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?

No 99% 16 shares
Will Audi Revolut get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?

No 98% 8.72 shares
Will Tgr Haas get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?

No 98% 8.72 shares
Will Cadillac get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?

No 98% 8.72 shares
Will Williams get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?

No 98% 8.72 shares
Will Aston Martin get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?

No 98% 8.72 shares
Will Cadillac have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?

No 99% 36 shares
Will Aston Martin have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?

No 98% 8.72 shares