Polymarket Trader

krokotuk

0x5afe3dd82317090c2f2eae0370049878669caf69

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $13.99K
Realized PnL: $34.61K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.19K
Potential profit: $15.19K
User PnL: -$13.9K

Yes position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $9.3K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $700
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $2.15K

Yes position

Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 61.2%
Current value: $4.69K
Potential payout: $7.66K
Potential profit: $2.98K
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: -$2.41K

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.27K
Potential profit: $1.27K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $1.26K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC end in a draw?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $1.07K
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$600

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$810

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $765
Potential profit: $765
User PnL: -$600

Yes position

Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$115

Kenya position

T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Kenya vs Rwanda

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $441.46
Potential profit: $441.46
User PnL: -$300

Panna Udvardy position

Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $420.57
Potential profit: $420.57
User PnL: -$300

Nongshim Red Force position

LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $340.09
Potential profit: $340.09
User PnL: -$300

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$300

Ulyana Hrabavets position

ITF Hurghada: Ulyana Hrabavets vs Aya El Sayed

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $240
Potential profit: $240
User PnL: -$197.72

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.7K

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.76K

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $2.43K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.36K

No position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.27K

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 13?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.24K

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47K

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $973.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $969.99

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $840.94

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $767

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $680.8

No position

Iran leadership change by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $672.99

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 7?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $634.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $613.77

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $610.97

Athletics position

Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $548.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $530

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $530

Yes position

Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $521.52

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 92% 8,043.48 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 91% 549.45 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 91% 1,098.9 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 93.8% 1,066.1 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 91% 5,494.51 shares
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

No 94.8% 5,042.51 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 94.2% 6,367.4 shares
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Yes 25% 1,000 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 60% 1,000 shares
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?

Yes 14% 1,000 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 81% 1,000 shares
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?

Yes 23% 500 shares