Polymarket Trader

keramika

@fullzor

0x5aff83daf421dfa18d2d9df545dff63d2a357035

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.99K
Realized PnL: $10.28K
Win rate: 54.2%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $50K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $457.2
Potential payout: $18K
Potential profit: $17.54K
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: $27.22

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.8%
Current value: $1.68K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $8.33K
Multiplier: 5.97x
User PnL: -$365

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $345
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.66K
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $315
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.69K
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: $35

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.8%
Current value: $3.57K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $6.42K
Multiplier: 2.80x
User PnL: $65

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $627.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.37K
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $17.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.61K

No position

Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.51K

No position

EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07K

Yes position

Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

No position

Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $766.07

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $652

Yes position

Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $319.97

No position

Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $170.75

No position

Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 38.5%
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $80

9z position

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70

Yes position

Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.69

No position

Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.53

Yes position

Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.75

No position

Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.66

No position

Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.94

FaZe position

Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winner

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.71

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 64.3%
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: -$16.44

Yes position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

SemperFi Esports position

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs SemperFi Esports - Map 2 Winner

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$71

TYLOO position

Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$300

No position

EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$330

No position

Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$401.44

No position

Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$464.85

No position

EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.38K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 71.9% 1,369.99 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1% 5,000 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Team Falcons 87% 5,696.4 shares
Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

No 99.8% 737.47 shares
Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

No 99.7% 389.51 shares
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Yes 28% 20.11 shares
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Yes 30.4% 12.95 shares
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

No 35.3% 8,818.88 shares
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

No 50% 9.26 shares
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?

No 89% 400 shares
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?

No 87.2% 596.39 shares
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?

No 87% 198 shares