No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $327.58
- Potential payout
- $419.98
- Potential profit
- $92.4
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $50.4
Polymarket Trader
nongc
0x5b036fc05da7f612c1667a696edd16e130070fbd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $662.38
- Realized PnL
- $353.23
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 72.2%
- Current value
- $288.8
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $111.2
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $146.4
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $46
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $154
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- $0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200.34
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195
No position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.4
No position
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$144.51
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 23% 80 shares
- Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 23% 120 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?No 73.4% 28 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?No 66% 124.99 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?No 66% 45 shares
- Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?No 28.5% 34.38 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026?No 72% 6,500 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026?No 69% 6,500 shares
- Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No 74.4% 400 shares