Polymarket Trader

vilgreg - 12098

0x5b11998e4ed1d8cf4a56f6e4a3e2bf7f25101d7d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $51.26
Realized PnL: $118.03
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $625
User PnL: -$2.5

No position

Will EIP-1559 be implemented live on Ethereum mainnet by 10 AM ET on August 5, 2021?

Ends Aug 5, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $558.89
Potential profit: $558.89
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will there be more than 100 positive cases of COVID-19 among athletes at the 2020 Olympics?

Ends Aug 9, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $553.22
Potential profit: $553.22
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce a run for President by October 1, 2021?

Ends Oct 2, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.68
Potential profit: $79.68
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.65
Potential profit: $59.65
User PnL: -$48

Yes position

Will it be possible to shop on Amazon using Bitcoin in the US before 2022?

Ends Jan 1, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.46
Potential profit: $39.46
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $36.99
Potential payout: $36.99
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $9.99

Yes position

Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22
Potential profit: $22
User PnL: -$4.62

Yes position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $18.18
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.17
Potential payout: $10.17
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $7.17

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster Edition

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.82
Potential profit: $7.82
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will another MrBeast video get 100m+ week 1 views by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.11
Potential payout: $4.11
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will $BTC break $50k before April 1st, 2021?

Ends Apr 1, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.46

No position

Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021?

Ends Apr 1, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.61

Yes position

Will Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on February 24, 2021?

Ends Feb 24, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 3259455.60x
User PnL: $16.29

Long position

What will the price of $MATIC be on September 3, 2021?

Ends Sep 3, 2021

Implied probability: 58.7%
Multiplier: 1.70x
User PnL: $13.26

Yes position

Will Cardano ($ADA) break $3 before January 1, 2022?

Ends Jan 1, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.49

Bitcoin position

Will Bitcoin or Tesla have a higher market cap on March 1, 2021?

Ends Mar 1, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.76

Yes position

Will Tesla announce a Bitcoin purchase before March 1, 2021?

Ends Mar 1, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.66

Yes position

Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021?

Ends Apr 1, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 11055658.86x
User PnL: $4.96

Yes position

Will Zcash flip Monero by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.02

No position

Will the price of Unisocks be above $100,000 on February 28, 2021?

Ends Feb 28, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on March 1, 2021?

Ends Mar 2, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9

No position

Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38

Yes position

Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021?

Ends Jan 20, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29

Yes position

Will Gold close between $3900 and $4000 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.1

No position

Will Apple release a new version of the Apple TV by December 31?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

No position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Dogecoin all time high before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.34

Yes position

Will Trump visit Gaza by Oct 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.09

Long position

What will Coinbase’s market cap be 1 week after it starts publicly trading?

Ends Sep 1, 2021

Implied probability: 79%
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$1.11

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Yes 0.4% 625 shares
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes 80% 43.75 shares
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Yes 93.1% 40 shares
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes 79% 1.27 shares
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes 82% 14.63 shares
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Yes 73% 36.99 shares
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?

Yes 11% 36 shares
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?

No 81% 2.4 shares
Will Apple release a new version of the Apple TV by December 31?

No 28% 2 shares
Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Yes 6% 15 shares
Will Gold close between $3900 and $4000 at the end of 2025?

Yes 4.5% 50 shares
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Yes 88.1% 40 shares