Polymarket Trader

Thwolf

0x5b1611b18b21f5bbe0918f2d87a65587e4a2a327

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $373.5
Realized PnL: $2.12K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.67K
Potential profit: $32.67K
User PnL: -$308.96

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $45
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $29.96K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$34.98

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $234.96
Potential payout: $8.24K
Potential profit: $8.01K
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: $55.56

Yes position

Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.58K
Potential profit: $4.58K
User PnL: -$320.38

Yes position

Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.34K
Potential profit: $4.34K
User PnL: -$25.04

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $66.17
Potential payout: $4.01K
Potential profit: $3.94K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$13.83

Yes position

Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.48K
Potential profit: $1.48K
User PnL: -$108.18

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $862.07
Potential profit: $862.07
User PnL: -$250

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $806.2
Potential profit: $806.2
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $799.64
Potential profit: $799.64
User PnL: -$228.38

Yes position

Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $744.44
Potential profit: $744.44
User PnL: -$12.97

Yes position

Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $660
Potential profit: $660
User PnL: -$5.94

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $40 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $584.62
Potential profit: $584.62
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $521.4
Potential profit: $521.4
User PnL: -$48

Yes position

Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $18.59
Potential payout: $453.42
Potential profit: $434.83
Multiplier: 24.39x
User PnL: -$1.41

Yes position

Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $8.78
Potential payout: $270.27
Potential profit: $261.49
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: -$1.22

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$17.4

Yes position

Trump wins a solid blue state?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $176.47
Potential profit: $176.47
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $156.25
Potential profit: $156.25
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $134.62
Potential profit: $134.62
User PnL: -$35

Germany position

Spread: Germany (-2.5)

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130.43
Potential profit: $130.43
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Daniil Dubov win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $126.29
Potential profit: $126.29
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $760.94

Yes position

Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $366.72

Yes position

Trump wins every swing state?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $238.73

Yes position

Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.07

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.33

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.33

St. Louis Cardinals position

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.56

Yes position

Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-10-05?

Ends Oct 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.76

Yes position

Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.14

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37

Yes position

Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-09-20?

Ends Sep 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.36

Yes position

Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.45

Yes position

Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.5

Chicago Cubs position

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.36

Reds position

Cubs vs. Reds

Ends Sep 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.18

Brewers position

Dodgers vs. Brewers

Ends Jul 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.68

Yes position

Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.71

St. Louis Cardinals position

Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.44

Colorado Rockies position

Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.6

Chicago Cubs position

Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.55

Cubs position

Brewers vs. Cubs

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.4

Yes position

Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-01-31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.4

Over position

Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.5% 1,200 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.4% 1,200 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.3% 44.31 shares
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs

St. Louis Cardinals 41% 97.56 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.5% 1,200 shares
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 10,000 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.9% 2,105.26 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.1% 1,904.76 shares
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?

Yes 29% 51.72 shares
Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Yes 19% 105.26 shares
Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score

Yes 48% 62.5 shares
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5

Over 35% 85.71 shares