mim44

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $36.64
Potential payout: $229
Potential profit: $192.36
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $67.59
Potential payout: $207.96
Potential profit: $140.38
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $2.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $47.39
Potential payout: $201.67
Potential profit: $154.28
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$2.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 7.9%
Current value: $11.67
Potential payout: $148.64
Potential profit: $136.97
Multiplier: 12.74x
User PnL: $5.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $11.4
Potential payout: $114
Potential profit: $102.6
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$7.59

No position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.52
Potential profit: $101.52
User PnL: -$94.97

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $100.46
Potential payout: $100.71
Potential profit: $0.25
User PnL: $0.96

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $91.54
Potential payout: $91.91
Potential profit: $0.37
User PnL: $0.81

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $88.03
Potential profit: $88.03
User PnL: -$46.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.16
Potential profit: $72.16
User PnL: -$15.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on May 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.15
Potential profit: $72.15
User PnL: -$0.91

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.09
Potential profit: $60.09
User PnL: -$27.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.45
Potential profit: $53.45
User PnL: -$26.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on May 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.44
Potential profit: $53.44
User PnL: -$8.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $16.8
Potential payout: $53.34
Potential profit: $36.54
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $0.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.78
Potential profit: $52.78
User PnL: -$3.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on May 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.49
Potential profit: $52.49
User PnL: -$12.13

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.99
Potential profit: $51.99
User PnL: -$40.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on May 26?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.65
Potential profit: $51.65
User PnL: -$8.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.51
Potential profit: $51.51
User PnL: -$49.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on May 26?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.46
Potential profit: $51.46
User PnL: -$2.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 23°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.36
Potential profit: $51.36
User PnL: -$49.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on May 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.97
Potential profit: $50.97
User PnL: -$5.34

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on February 26?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $46.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on May 26?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on May 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on May 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on May 26?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 68-69°F on May 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C or higher on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on May 26?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on May 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 7?