Yes position
Megaquake by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $240.67
- Potential payout
- $1.46K
- Potential profit
- $1.22K
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$259.33
Polymarket Trader
warlordbarbie
0x5b1d567aad842e6543e29524821d43dfd8aa9e59
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $240.67
- Realized PnL
- $1.13K
- Win rate
- 37.5%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34K
No position
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $336.71
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.82
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.89
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17.31
Yes position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Japanese PM?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$51.48
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$104.41
Yes position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$364.39
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Megaquake by July 31?Yes 34.3% 1,458.6 shares
- Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No 67% 1,020.34 shares
- Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Japanese PM?Yes 5.8% 356.56 shares
- Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Japanese PM?Yes 11% 70 shares
- Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Japanese PM?Yes 19.4% 283.14 shares
- Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Japanese PM?Yes 17.4% 143.43 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes 1.8% 10,000.14 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes 2.7% 2,530 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes 2.7% 4,176.71 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes 3% 6,666.67 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes 13% 790.92 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes 3.2% 6,250 shares