Polymarket Trader

flagrant2

0x5b22d30424cc65505469449fc841941abf6fc59c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.64K
Realized PnL: $45.16K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.1K
Potential profit: $10.1K
User PnL: -$7.48K

Yes position

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $155
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.85K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$105

Yes position

Will the fight be ruled a No Contest or end in any other result?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $124.99
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.87K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$55

Over position

Bengals vs. Ravens: O/U 51.5

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.5K
Potential profit: $9.5K
User PnL: -$5.04K

Lions position

Packers vs. Lions

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.81K
Potential profit: $6.81K
User PnL: -$2.86K

Yes position

Will Aftyn Behn win TN-7 Special Election?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.61K
Potential profit: $6.61K
User PnL: -$1.6K

Panthers position

Rams vs. Panthers

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.62K
Potential profit: $5.62K
User PnL: -$1.34K

Giants position

Spread: Patriots (-7.5)

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$2.75K

Indiana position

Spread: Indiana (-7.5)

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$2.45K

Over position

Texans vs. Chiefs: O/U 42.5

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$2.3K

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $4.62K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $375
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $825

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$2.5K

Yes position

Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $1.74K
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $2.26K
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$300

Steelers position

Texans vs. Steelers

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$1.64K

Over position

Jets vs. Saints: O/U 40.5

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$1.94K

Over position

Miami vs. Ohio State: O/U 40.5

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.8K
Potential profit: $3.8K
User PnL: -$1.93K

Over position

O/U 52.5

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.75K
Potential profit: $3.75K
User PnL: -$1.79K

No position

Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.63K
Potential profit: $3.63K
User PnL: -$1.65K

Panthers position

Panthers vs. Buccaneers

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3.5K
User PnL: -$1.44K

Bears position

Rams vs. Bears

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3.5K
User PnL: -$1.26K

Over position

Seahawks vs. 49ers: O/U 47.5

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.16K
Potential profit: $3.16K
User PnL: -$1.61K

Jets position

Dolphins vs. Jets

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.14K
Potential profit: $3.14K
User PnL: -$1.38K

Texas Tech Red Raiders position

Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$1.56K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Steelers position

Ravens vs. Steelers

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.08K

Indiana position

Ohio State vs. Indiana

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.67K

Over position

49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 43.5

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.64K

Over position

Packers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6K

Over position

Miami vs. Indiana: O/U 46.5

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5K

Yes position

Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46K

Over position

Cowboys vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.31K

Over position

Vikings vs. Cowboys: O/U 48.5

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.12K

Miami position

Miami vs. Texas A&M

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2K

Over position

Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 42.5

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2K

Over position

Cowboys vs. Lions: O/U 55.5

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2K

Over position

Falcons vs. Buccaneers: O/U 43.5

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.79K

Over position

Oregon vs. Indiana: O/U 49.5

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.72K

Over position

Ravens vs. Packers: O/U 38.5

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56K

49ers position

Spread: Eagles (-4.5)

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.53K

Under position

Eagles vs. Bills: O/U 44.5

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47K

Over position

Saints vs. Titans: O/U 39.5

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45K

Falcons position

Falcons vs. Buccaneers

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42K

Falcons position

Spread: Buccaneers (-6.5)

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41K

Broncos position

Broncos vs. Commanders

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4K

Miami position

Spread: Ohio State (-9.5)

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36K

Over position

Bills vs. Browns: O/U 41.5

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28K

Cowboys position

Chiefs vs. Cowboys

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25K

Over position

Bengals vs. Bills: O/U 53.5

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Nancy Guthrie kidnapper arrested by February 28?

Yes 57.5% 184.85 shares
Nancy Guthrie kidnapper arrested by February 28?

Yes 59.3% 1,415.82 shares
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?

No 68.5% 2,839.31 shares
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?

No 30% 1,503.78 shares
Will Matt LaFleur be fired by February 28?

No 98.7% 188.44 shares
Will Mike McCoy be fired by February 28?

Yes 99.2% 1,501.04 shares
Miami vs. Indiana: O/U 46.5

Over 50% 5,000 shares
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)

Indiana 49% 5,000 shares
Rams vs. Bears

Bears 36% 3,500 shares
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?

No 91.2% 2,700.76 shares
49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 43.5

Over 52% 5,500.39 shares
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?

No 89.6% 5,000 shares