Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.65K
- Potential payout
- $1.83K
- Potential profit
- $173.64
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $9.14
Polymarket Trader
Michaeia
@flex3700
0x5b2dfbb7c6d5e082ed0ab760045fec562a8fcfd8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.67K
- Realized PnL
- $239.73
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $15.18
- Potential payout
- $15.22
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $1.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.78
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.8
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.52
No position
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 14?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.24
No position
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.09
Yes position
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.68
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.08
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.67
Yes position
Will Fidesz–KDNP finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.42
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 24, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.22
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.46
No position
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
Yes position
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33
Yes position
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.29
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91
Yes position
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) finish with the third-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will Matthias Bluebaum win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 90% 1,827.78 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 92% 15.22 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 98.3% 113.94 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 90% 1,617.78 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No 95% 38.95 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No 99.4% 1,420.52 shares
- Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?No 99.8% 1,422.85 shares
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 99.3% 1,417 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 7?No 99.1% 15.62 shares
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 98.8% 1,417 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 7?No 96% 15.63 shares
- Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No 99.5% 1,392.57 shares