Polymarket Trader

masenhoff

0x5b2e332a1e37edb1a4527372870b4892e24fec71

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.7K
Realized PnL: $628.49
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $871.1
Potential payout: $905.98
Potential profit: $34.88
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $71.1

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $526.79
Potential payout: $595.24
Potential profit: $68.45
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $26.79

No position

Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $189.61
Potential profit: $189.61
User PnL: -$146

No position

Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.7%
Current value: $106.59
Potential payout: $116.24
Potential profit: $9.65
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $6.59

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $103.93
Potential payout: $112.36
Potential profit: $8.43
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $3.93

No position

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $88.09
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $2.82
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $8.09

Yes position

Will Severance win the Emmy for Outstanding Drama Series?

Ends Sep 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.57
Potential profit: $67.57
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.49
Potential profit: $63.49
User PnL: -$40

No position

Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.85
Potential profit: $57.85
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.25
Potential profit: $50.25
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.92
Potential profit: $19.92
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.25
Potential profit: $12.25
User PnL: -$1.96

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.94

Yes position

Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.82

No position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.53

Yes position

Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.78

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.9

Yes position

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.47

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.72

Yes position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.06

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?

Ends Sep 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.43

Yes position

Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.09

No position

Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.81

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.99

No position

Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.97

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.78

No position

Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.86

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.43

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.91

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

No position

Another US military action against Iran before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.88

No position

Ethereum above $4300 on September 5?

Ends Sep 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.13

No position

Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.87

No position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.53

No position

Trump out as President by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.31

Yes position

US government shutdown in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.27

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?

Yes 44% 68.18 shares
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?

Yes 44% 113.64 shares
Trump out as President before 2027?

No 89% 112.36 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

No 84% 595.24 shares
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?

No 95% 10.53 shares
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 58% 17.24 shares
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 58% 34.48 shares
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?

No 89.7% 55.72 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 91.9% 217.63 shares
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Yes 41% 12.75 shares
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Yes 41% 100 shares
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

No 50.2% 19.92 shares