Polymarket Trader

Dolly22

0x5b4d449335b79afbbecae9be20543fd9fa5f2adb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $997.04
Realized PnL: $573.44
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $391.14
Potential payout: $1.53K
Potential profit: $1.14K
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$8.2

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $61.89
Potential payout: $615.83
Potential profit: $553.94
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$14.71

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.7%
Current value: $67.24
Potential payout: $360.52
Potential profit: $293.28
Multiplier: 5.36x
User PnL: $4.28

Yes position

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $196.87
Potential payout: $260.75
Potential profit: $63.88
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $15
Potential payout: $158.73
Potential profit: $143.73
Multiplier: 10.58x
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $154.95
Potential payout: $155.18
Potential profit: $0.23
User PnL: $127.18

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.4%
Current value: $34.87
Potential payout: $104.56
Potential profit: $69.69
Multiplier: 3.00x
User PnL: $14.87

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $24
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $76.01
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: $0.76

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $35.42
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $47.92
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $4.38

Yes position

Will Discord’s market cap be between $17B and $20B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $15.27
Potential payout: $71
Potential profit: $55.74
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $0.36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.63
Potential profit: $1.63
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $0.41
Potential payout: $1.4
Potential profit: $0.99
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.09
Potential profit: $1.09
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $262.68

Yes position

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $207.04

No position

EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.97

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.14

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

No position

Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.11

No position

Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.99

Yes position

Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.72

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 46.2%
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $7.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.47

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.32

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.66

No position

Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 83%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $1.3

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

Yes position

Will Discord’s market cap be less than $5B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 17%
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: $0.71

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

Yes position

Will Discord’s market cap be between $8B and $11B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 17.5%
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.34

Yes position

Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Fuse launch a token by March 31, 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Prime Intellect launch a token by March 31, 2027?

Ends Apr 1, 2027

Implied probability: 14%
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List by December 31, 2026?

Yes 54% 69.58 shares
Will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List by December 31, 2026?

Yes 58% 56.22 shares
Will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List by December 31, 2026?

Yes 59% 12.76 shares
Will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List by December 31, 2026?

Yes 59% 7.24 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes 8% 599.97 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 20.4% 940.02 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 20.5% 5.56 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.7% 125 shares
Will Prime Intellect launch a token by March 31, 2027?

Yes 31% 17.42 shares
Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?

Yes 84.1% 59.35 shares
Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?

Yes 84.5% 150 shares
Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?

Yes 84.6% 50 shares