Polymarket Trader

Mabar1906

0x5b5068434d6f46970d665d7526cd45e2c17851f9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $176.9
Realized PnL: $52.38
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 19
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $99.53
Potential profit: $99.18
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$20.05

No position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $35.79
Potential payout: $84.22
Potential profit: $48.43
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$4.21

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $1.23
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $58.77
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$1.77

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $47.62
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $45.05
Potential profit: $45.02
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.98

No position

Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $26.32
User PnL: -$10

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.1
Potential profit: $24.1
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $21.2
Potential payout: $24.1
Potential profit: $2.89
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $1.2

No position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $10.54
Potential payout: $23.67
Potential profit: $13.14
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $4.43
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $18.3
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$0.57

No position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $14.88
Potential payout: $22.72
Potential profit: $7.84
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $0.88

Yes position

Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $22.22
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 92.2%
Current value: $20.4
Potential payout: $22.14
Potential profit: $1.74
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $21.08
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $0.66
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $8.83
Potential payout: $21.28
Potential profit: $12.45
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$1.17

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $9.04
Potential payout: $21.28
Potential profit: $12.23
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $9.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $10.7
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $8.14
Potential payout: $19.61
Potential profit: $11.47
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$1.86

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $1.17
Potential payout: $17.54
Potential profit: $16.38
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $17.24
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $0.89
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $15.77
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$0.11

No position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 60.3%
Current value: $9.6
Potential payout: $15.92
Potential profit: $6.32
Multiplier: 1.66x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.87
Potential profit: $15.87
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.56

Yes position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.83

Yes position

Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.14

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.11

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $2.78

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.15

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

No position

Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

No 82% 2.44 shares
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?

No 75% 2.67 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Yes 30% 3.33 shares
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?

No 46% 2.17 shares
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees

New York Yankees 51% 1.96 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.4% 8.77 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?

No 23% 4.35 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

No 38% 2.63 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

No 62% 3.23 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.7% 17.54 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6% 16.67 shares
Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?

Yes 23% 13.04 shares