Yes position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.39
- Potential payout
- $213.1
- Potential profit
- $211.72
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$23.61
Polymarket Trader
0x5b53...a701
0x5b534eaf0257ca98cb906670afa26e7d757ba701
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $127.32
- Realized PnL
- -$188.74
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $108.54
- Potential payout
- $129.21
- Potential profit
- $20.67
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $8.54
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 38.4%
- Current value
- $16.75
- Potential payout
- $43.69
- Potential profit
- $26.93
- Multiplier
- 2.61x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $0.64
- Potential payout
- $17.65
- Potential profit
- $17
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- -$14.36
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.18
Yes position
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.28
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$33.44
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$200.77
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 31% 115.3 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 60% 115.3 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No 66% 304.2 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No 67% 106.61 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 41.2% 43.69 shares
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Yes 85% 17.65 shares
- Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?Yes 70.9% 35.28 shares
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?Yes 11.7% 213.1 shares
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?No 77.4% 129.21 shares