Polymarket Trader

neutralwave23

0x5b6331e7ff0831a3fe2ed12004747db1a9c911a4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $109.44K
Realized PnL: $721.75K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $11.16K
Potential payout: $439.3K
Potential profit: $428.14K
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$158.59

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $43.06K
Potential payout: $412.06K
Potential profit: $369K
Multiplier: 9.57x
User PnL: $1.25K

No position

Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $351.86K
Potential profit: $351.86K
User PnL: -$351.86

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $2.4K
Potential payout: $320.14K
Potential profit: $317.74K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$480.21

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.62K
Potential profit: $300.62K
User PnL: -$3.56K

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $374.78
Potential payout: $249.85K
Potential profit: $249.48K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.12K

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $476.2
Potential payout: $190.48K
Potential profit: $190.01K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.87K

No position

Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $174.3K
Potential profit: $174.3K
User PnL: -$4.06K

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $170.7K
Potential profit: $170.7K
User PnL: -$1.22K

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.85K
Potential profit: $166.85K
User PnL: -$386.42

No position

Trump kiss by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.81K
Potential profit: $142.81K
User PnL: -$151.09

Down position

Solana Up or Down - April 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136.73K
Potential profit: $136.73K
User PnL: -$1.37K

Yes position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $327.23
Potential payout: $130.89K
Potential profit: $130.57K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$196.34

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $568.09
Potential payout: $126.24K
Potential profit: $125.67K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$857.95

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $123.85K
Potential profit: $123.85K
User PnL: -$220.07

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $6.73K
Potential payout: $119.1K
Potential profit: $112.37K
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $165.43

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $59.37
Potential payout: $118.74K
Potential profit: $118.68K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$618.29

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $21.66K
Potential payout: $117.4K
Potential profit: $95.74K
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $2.52K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.42K
Potential profit: $108.42K
User PnL: -$1.76K

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $1.76K
Potential payout: $106.45K
Potential profit: $104.7K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$275.92

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $6.57K
Potential payout: $98.75K
Potential profit: $92.18K
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$1.74K

Yes position

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $340.3
Potential payout: $97.23K
Potential profit: $96.89K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $31.89

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $9.72K
Potential payout: $96.72K
Potential profit: $87K
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$84.92

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $4.25K
Potential payout: $95.4K
Potential profit: $91.16K
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: $0.95

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $204.3K

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.15K

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Rockets

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.05K

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.27K

Los Angeles Dodgers position

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.5K

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.33K

Los Angeles Dodgers position

Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.7K

Atlanta Braves position

Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Braves

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.48K

Frances Tiafoe position

Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.16K

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.63K

Tampa Bay Rays position

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.15K

No position

Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.15K

Knicks position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.43K

Lakers position

Rockets vs. Lakers

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.41K

Rajasthan Royals position

Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.44K

Joao Fonseca position

Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.33K

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.93K

Chicago Cubs position

Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.82K

New York Yankees position

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.84K

Sean Strickland position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.65K

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.77K

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.64K

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Trail Blazers

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.43K

Matteo Arnaldi position

Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $11.21K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

Up 36.6% 57.02 shares
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

Up 50.3% 27.39 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

Down 47% 28.68 shares
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?

Yes 22% 41.32 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 76% 18.26 shares
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

Up 35.1% 59.86 shares
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

Up 28.4% 234.6 shares
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 10% 91.8 shares
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 10% 127 shares
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics

Pittsburgh Pirates 41% 11.37 shares
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

Up 35.6% 57.03 shares
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

Down 55% 10.44 shares