Polymarket Trader

mancamo

0x5b6cc97b42129ec3360e6b5e0e434ae6d9315ab5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $162.3
Realized PnL: $10.59K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83K
Potential profit: $83K
User PnL: -$83

Yes position

Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46K
Potential profit: $46K
User PnL: -$4.28K

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.2K
Potential profit: $18.2K
User PnL: -$1.9K

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $155.25
Potential payout: $11.5K
Potential profit: $11.34K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$764.74

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8K
Potential profit: $8K
User PnL: -$2.16K

No position

Will Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.01K
Potential profit: $7.01K
User PnL: -$560.99

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$202

No position

Will Vitality win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$1.2K

No position

Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$626.99

No position

Will Ethereum reach $3,200 December 29-January 4?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $907.5
Potential profit: $907.5
User PnL: -$707.85

No position

Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $900
User PnL: -$621

No position

Will CA Osasuna vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $629.07
Potential profit: $629.07
User PnL: -$427.77

No position

Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$278

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 29-January 4?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $127.59
Potential profit: $127.59
User PnL: -$89.31

No position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$28.7

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $7.05
Potential payout: $61.28
Potential profit: $54.24
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$5.11

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 5?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33
Potential profit: $33
User PnL: -$20.46

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.52K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $770.03

No position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $636.45

No position

Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $447.34

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $440

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $384

No position

Will Jesse Plemons be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $306.28

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $303.12

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $286

No position

Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $273.99

Yes position

Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $260.91

No position

Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $232

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $218

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $189

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 9?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.95

No position

Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146.2

No position

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $144.04

No position

Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.8

No position

Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.21

No position

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.62

No position

Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2025 meeting?

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120

No position

Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.2

No position

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.2

No position

Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.21

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 1.7% 500 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 16.2% 2,600 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 16.5% 9,299.71 shares
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

No 90.8% 319.67 shares
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

No 69% 900 shares
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Yes 21% 687.1 shares
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Yes 30% 8,000 shares
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Yes 16.7% 395.62 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 19% 40 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 20% 10,000 shares
Will there be 6-8 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

No 91% 114.5 shares
Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?

No 88.5% 958.36 shares