Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $6.59
- Potential payout
- $52.5
- Potential profit
- $45.91
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Polymarket Trader
trader-5b77b090
0x5b77b090b62996a90b340d5ce0d71568bbbe1787
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $163.38
- Realized PnL
- $60.09
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $7.95
- Potential payout
- $46.92
- Potential profit
- $38.97
- Multiplier
- 5.90x
- User PnL
- $2.09
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $14.72
- Potential payout
- $29.14
- Potential profit
- $14.42
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Yes position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $24.85
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$15.85
Yes position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $13.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $6.9
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
No position
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.2%
- Current value
- $15.23
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $4.77
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $0.21
N
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.8%
- Current value
- $13.47
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $1.53
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
World Cup: Ronaldo to Score a Free Kick?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $14.6
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.4
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $14.47
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.53
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $14.58
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.42
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $9.94
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $9.99
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $9.1
- Potential profit
- $9.07
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.97
No position
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $5.44
- Potential payout
- $6.36
- Potential profit
- $0.92
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $4.13
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.88
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $4.86
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $4.57
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.43
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Current value
- $4.69
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.34
Y
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.2%
- Current value
- $2.2
- Potential payout
- $3.85
- Potential profit
- $1.65
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
Ends Sep 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $1.37
- Potential payout
- $2.13
- Potential profit
- $0.76
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.31
- Potential payout
- $1.31
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.13
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.73
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.58
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.51
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
No position
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.31
Yes position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16
Yes position
Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $2.04
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Paraguay position
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
Under position
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 6.5
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 74.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $0.84
No position
Will Mirra Andreeva be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.7%
- Multiplier
- 2.81x
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will Trump hug an Iranian official by June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?No 82% 5 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?No 82% 5 shares
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 64% 3.84 shares
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 64.1% 1.16 shares
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 67% 5 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 37.1% 15 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes 69% 5 shares
- Over $30M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes 6% 8.34 shares
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No 87% 0.7 shares
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No 73% 0.76 shares
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No 73% 0.31 shares
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No 73% 3.93 shares