Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.2%
- Current value
- $12.73
- Potential payout
- $54.99
- Potential profit
- $42.26
- Multiplier
- 4.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
Polymarket Trader
0x5ba3...8763
0x5ba33af4b923b5dc00ca9c6ee4031b9d31c18763
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $203.32
- Realized PnL
- $6.25
- Win rate
- 53.8%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $46.61
- Potential payout
- $48.48
- Potential profit
- $1.87
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $37.34
- Potential payout
- $45.82
- Potential profit
- $8.48
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $3.94
- Potential payout
- $41.68
- Potential profit
- $37.74
- Multiplier
- 10.58x
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $33.16
- Potential payout
- $34.89
- Potential profit
- $1.73
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $5.92
- Potential payout
- $33.81
- Potential profit
- $27.89
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $1.18
No position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $27.57
- Potential payout
- $27.86
- Potential profit
- $0.29
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $16.6
- Potential payout
- $22.58
- Potential profit
- $5.98
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $13.43
- Potential payout
- $13.77
- Potential profit
- $0.34
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.4%
- Current value
- $3.74
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $6.27
- Multiplier
- 2.68x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $2.28
- Potential payout
- $2.64
- Potential profit
- $0.36
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.04
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.31
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $1.38
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 76.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $0.83
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 22.1%
- Multiplier
- 4.54x
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 62.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 78%
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$1.53
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$1.66
No position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes 42% 27.55 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 22.8% 29.36 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 23.8% 78.02 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes 95% 126.06 shares
- Will Trump visit China by June 30?No 2.2% 70.31 shares
- Will Trump visit China by June 30?Yes 81% 7.96 shares
- Will Trump visit China by June 30?Yes 90% 89.57 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?No 18% 15.62 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 40.1% 41.5 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 21.9% 96.87 shares
- Will Trump visit China by June 30?No 14% 13.51 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 79% 58.37 shares