Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $117.83
- Potential payout
- $872.85
- Potential profit
- $755.02
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$117.83
Polymarket Trader
0x5ba3...c538
0x5ba3ba7f85a0d7d25d876ceb0907349790f1c538
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $433.21
- Realized PnL
- $14.33
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 36.7%
- Current value
- $276.86
- Potential payout
- $755.41
- Potential profit
- $478.55
- Multiplier
- 2.73x
- User PnL
- -$37.39
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $21.92
- Potential payout
- $442.87
- Potential profit
- $420.95
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.66
No position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $16.6
- Potential payout
- $28.87
- Potential profit
- $12.27
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$1.88
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 22.2%
- Multiplier
- 4.51x
- User PnL
- $14.7
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 66.6% 588.16 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 39.5% 959.47 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 27% 872.85 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo 47% 520.03 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 41.6% 755.41 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 13.2% 280.76 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 13.3% 0.93 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 5.1% 999.48 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 11.6% 881.15 shares