No position
Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $210.54
- Potential payout
- $484
- Potential profit
- $273.46
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $70.18
Polymarket Trader
AllisonFrancis5698
0x5baa69fd1b13dbf83b5d5f0e52607ea32e2c0ec6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $210.54
- Realized PnL
- $1.22K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trove launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $296
- Potential profit
- $296
- User PnL
- -$38.48
Yes position
Will Fomo launch a token by March 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $136
- Potential profit
- $136
- User PnL
- -$17.68
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75%?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $488.49
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 20?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.43
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.64
No position
Will the Brown University shooter not be arrested in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $77.52
Yes position
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $68.68
Yes position
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.44
Yes position
Cerebras IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.08
Yes position
Will AOI win the Defi App trading competition?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $41.48
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.98
No position
Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.72
Yes position
John Brennan federally charged by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.17
Yes position
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $21.06
Yes position
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.73
Yes position
Will Leon Thomas win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.36
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 72%
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $14.23
No position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $13.83
Yes position
Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.18
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.62
Yes position
Transgender women be banned from the Olympics before Winter Games?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.86
Yes position
Will Apocalypse in the Tropics be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.28
Yes position
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $8.36
No position
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.34
Yes position
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.4
Yes position
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.58
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026?No 88% 722 shares
- Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026?No 29% 484 shares
- Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No 61% 108 shares
- Vanta IPO before 2027?No 72% 41 shares
- Vanta IPO before 2027?No 74% 41 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?No 80% 45 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?No 82% 45 shares
- Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?No 53% 959 shares
- Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?No 54% 959 shares
- Will Anthony Davis be traded this season?No 60% 466 shares
- Will Anthony Davis be traded this season?No 60% 108 shares
- Will Anthony Davis be traded this season?No 61% 574 shares