Polymarket Trader

latvianboy

0x5bae91266d6582314d3ce97e0d17896611ca2955

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.36K
Realized PnL: $462.82
Win rate: 68.8%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 16
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $432.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $67.5
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$19.5

No position

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $399.48
Potential payout: $436.59
Potential profit: $37.11
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $11.78

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $102
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $298
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$18

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $399.8
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $0.2
User PnL: $10.3

No position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $342.71
Potential payout: $342.88
Potential profit: $0.17
User PnL: $7.62

No position

Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $260.54
Potential payout: $296.07
Potential profit: $35.53
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $4.54

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $187.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $12.1
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $17.05
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $92.95
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$4.05

Yes position

Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $28
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $72
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $51.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $48.5
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$20.5

Yes position

Trump meets with Putin by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $39
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $61
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $25.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $24.75
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$17

No position

Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$36.5

No position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $43.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $6.75
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$3.25

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $29.45
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0.55
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.59

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.4

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.59

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $31

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.5

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 67.9%
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: -$1.52

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?

Yes 16% 60 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?

Yes 24% 100 shares
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?

No 89% 146.07 shares
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

No 91% 50 shares
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

No 93% 50 shares
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?

Yes 38% 100 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

No 92% 100 shares
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?

Yes 33% 100 shares
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

Yes 79% 50 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?

Yes 32% 300 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?

Yes 23% 50 shares
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Yes 48% 50 shares