Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16.2%
- Current value
- $323K
- Potential payout
- $2M
- Potential profit
- $1.68M
- Multiplier
- 6.19x
- User PnL
- -$677K
Polymarket Trader
bobe2.1
0x5bb0de4e97698184ead80c80cb17a26cd6f6814b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.23M
- Realized PnL
- $159.83K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 83.9%
- Current value
- $1.68M
- Potential payout
- $2M
- Potential profit
- $323K
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $677K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $721.91K
- Potential payout
- $724.44K
- Potential profit
- $2.54K
- User PnL
- $6.6K
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $291.89K
- Potential payout
- $292.04K
- Potential profit
- $146.02
- User PnL
- $730.1
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $142.77K
- Potential payout
- $143.13K
- Potential profit
- $357.81
- User PnL
- $965.38
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $73.65K
- Potential payout
- $74.06K
- Potential profit
- $407.31
- User PnL
- $1.27K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $16.67
- Potential payout
- $11.11K
- Potential profit
- $11.09K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$116.66
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.02K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.96K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.07K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.52K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.75K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.18K
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.04K
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45K
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22K
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64K
No position
Trump out as President by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31K
No position
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
No position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
No position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $678.67
No position
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $412.41
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $355.55
Yes position
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $322.47
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $166.07
Yes position
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.9
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $138.89
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.6
Yes position
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.66
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $22.64
No position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.6% 55,624.66 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Yes 83% 2,222 shares
- Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?No 99.2% 1,739.67 shares
- Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?No 99.2% 4,734.21 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 98.8% 7,776.99 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 1.2% 9,999 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 1.2% 1,111 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No 99.4% 10,309.44 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No 99.3% 1,325.96 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 97.1% 2,222 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No 99.4% 37,947.22 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No 98.4% 1,774.29 shares