Polymarket Trader

Not-Sleeping-Anymore

0x5bb3c0edb3b5ad08cf21c5d2ceb80d3d65794268

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.06K
Realized PnL: $17.33K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $4.04K
Potential payout: $20.71K
Potential profit: $16.67K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $362.63

Yes position

Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $25.69
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $1.07K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$247.82

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.31K

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57K

B8 position

Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2K

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

No position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.01K

Yes position

US strikes Iraq by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $805.49

Yes position

US strikes Iraq by March 7?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $790.5

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $668.49

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $661.51

Xtreme Gaming position

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $594.87

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $524.89

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $448.36

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $391.3

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $336.32

Tundra Esports position

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 3 Winner

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $324.43

Xtreme Gaming position

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $239.99

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $232.36

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $230

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $197.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $194.99

Finland position

Men's Quarterfinals - Finland vs. Switzerland

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164.94

MOUZ position

Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 18% 15,506.89 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 17% 5,200.77 shares
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?

Yes 25% 10.49 shares
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?

Yes 25.2% 122.9 shares
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner

Team Falcons 63.7% 31.54 shares
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner

FUT Esports 99.9% 19.27 shares
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner

FUT Esports 45.5% 19.27 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

MOUZ 28% 408.49 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner

FURIA 15% 230.07 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner

MOUZ 35.2% 739.76 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Yes 35% 2,826.63 shares
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner

Natus Vincere 17% 999.99 shares