Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.18K
- Potential profit
- $6.18K
- User PnL
- -$75.2
Polymarket Trader
Fightree
0x5bb4a865e5a2b432b7c421bcc9e98560d477cb1e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $73.29
- Realized PnL
- $2.76K
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 8, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.06K
- Potential profit
- $6.06K
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.11K
- Potential profit
- $4.11K
- User PnL
- -$437.99
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.03K
- Potential profit
- $4.03K
- User PnL
- -$5.99
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $73.29
- Potential payout
- $3.96K
- Potential profit
- $3.89K
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$24.71
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.4K
- Potential profit
- $3.4K
- User PnL
- -$197
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.16K
- Potential profit
- $3.16K
- User PnL
- -$195.4
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 2?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.76K
- Potential profit
- $2.76K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.37K
- Potential profit
- $2.37K
- User PnL
- -$16
No position
Grokipedia released by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.71K
- Potential profit
- $1.71K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- User PnL
- -$51.24
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 12?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.29K
- Potential profit
- $1.29K
- User PnL
- -$220.84
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $1.22K
- User PnL
- -$20.7
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- User PnL
- -$86
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- User PnL
- -$28.75
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- User PnL
- -$25.87
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$8.97
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $925
- Potential profit
- $925
- User PnL
- -$19.72
Yes position
Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $809.24
- Potential profit
- $809.24
- User PnL
- -$39
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $714.29
- Potential profit
- $714.29
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $698.68
- Potential profit
- $698.68
- User PnL
- -$119.18
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $695.79
- Potential profit
- $695.79
- User PnL
- -$13.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 23?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
No position
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $398.6
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $373.55
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210.9
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $142.92
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.19
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.44
Yes position
Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.11
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.83
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 4?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.23
Yes position
Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.04
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.33
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.75
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.37
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 1?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.05
Yes position
Will Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.72
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.22
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 11, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
Will Israel strike 1 country in November 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.89
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.6%
- Multiplier
- 9.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.92
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.4%
- Multiplier
- 22.99x
- User PnL
- -$1.13
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.19
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 2.5% 3,961.36 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 5.3% 1,492.53 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 6.7% 1,492.54 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 14?Yes 12.9% 69.77 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 14?Yes 12.8% 1,796.88 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 14?Yes 8.9% 2,242.81 shares
- Knicks vs. SpursKnicks 91% 622.58 shares
- Knicks vs. SpursKnicks 31% 9.68 shares
- Knicks vs. SpursKnicks 31% 612.9 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 11?Yes 5.6% 1,764.12 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 10?Yes 5.9% 1,644.07 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 10?Yes 5.1% 1,511.06 shares