Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $299.99
- User PnL
- -$8.35
Polymarket Trader
youtube234t
0x5bbeaa12cf56e08587fbd9083780e56bf62e85a3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $61.37
- Realized PnL
- $7.45K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Current value
- $16.5
- Potential payout
- $249.99
- Potential profit
- $233.49
- Multiplier
- 15.15x
- User PnL
- -$29
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$13.65
No position
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $296 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$81
Yes position
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$45.5
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Norway vs France FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $120
- User PnL
- -$39.8
Yes position
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $31
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $69
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$25.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$41.5
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$3.5
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.1%
- Current value
- $9.1
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $90.9
- Multiplier
- 10.99x
- User PnL
- -$15.9
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Current value
- $1.1
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $48.9
- Multiplier
- 45.45x
- User PnL
- -$5.4
Y
Yes position
Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 10–15%?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.98
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.13
No position
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 23m?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$6.5
Yes position
Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $1.45
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $48.55
- Multiplier
- 34.48x
- User PnL
- -$9.55
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.92
- Potential profit
- $47.92
- User PnL
- -$1.44
Yes position
Will Deep Fission's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.75B at market close on IPO day?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.97
- Potential profit
- $39.97
- User PnL
- -$17.39
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.72
- Potential profit
- $20.72
- User PnL
- -$6.42
Y
Yes position
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $18.5
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $0.7
Y
Yes position
Will Türkiye be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$7.2
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Hydration Break" 5+ times during the New Zealand vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$7.8
Yes position
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $0.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.3
- Multiplier
- 28.57x
- User PnL
- -$6.7
No position
Will Broadcom (AVGO) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.83
- Potential profit
- $15.83
- User PnL
- -$0.81
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Rangers position
Bruins vs. Rangers
Ends Jan 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45K
No position
Will Wolves win on 2025-01-06?
Ends Jan 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9K
Predators position
Predators vs. Canucks
Ends Jan 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1K
No position
Will Brentford vs. Arsenal end in a draw?
Ends Jan 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $579.96
Kings position
Grizzlies vs. Kings
Ends Jan 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $568.68
Buccaneers position
Saints vs. Buccaneers
Ends Jan 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $222.2
No position
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $93.5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $71.17
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.4
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.65
Yes position
Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $54
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.47
Yes position
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42
Yes position
Will Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $40.5
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36.66
No position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.5
No position
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.86
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.04
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.5
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.43
No position
Will DTMF (Bad Bunny) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14.5m?
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?Yes 3% 47.92 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?No 98.1% 50 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 78.6% 100 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes 38.5% 92.92 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on April 3?Yes 41% 19 shares
- Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?No 60% 21.95 shares
- Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 7.8% 49.99 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?No 98.5% 50 shares
- Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?No 30% 70 shares
- Iran leadership change by December 31?No 66% 50 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 67% 49.99 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No 73% 49.27 shares