Yes position
Will AC Milan finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $311.72
- Potential profit
- $311.72
- User PnL
- -$280.93
Polymarket Trader
vargasvargas026
0x5bcad84509610744a46d67ccd6659563ef632c1d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $330.89
- Realized PnL
- $869.77
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $9.44
- Potential payout
- $222.22
- Potential profit
- $212.78
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $222.16
- Potential profit
- $222.16
- User PnL
- -$171.06
No position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $217.92
- Potential profit
- $217.92
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $204.08
- Potential profit
- $204.08
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.8%
- Current value
- $38.16
- Potential payout
- $183.47
- Potential profit
- $145.31
- Multiplier
- 4.81x
- User PnL
- -$11.84
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.8%
- Current value
- $62.71
- Potential payout
- $166.11
- Potential profit
- $103.41
- Multiplier
- 2.65x
- User PnL
- $12.71
Over position
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $160.76
- Potential profit
- $160.76
- User PnL
- -$141.47
Over 3.5 position
Jakub Mensik vs. Joao Fonseca: Total Sets O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $158.73
- Potential profit
- $158.73
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will "The Odyssey" make it into the IMDb Top 250?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $59.14
- Potential payout
- $139.15
- Potential profit
- $80.01
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$40.86
Iga Swiatek position
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $134.54
- Potential profit
- $134.54
- User PnL
- -$95.52
Ben Shelton position
Roland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Ben Shelton
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $121.95
- Potential profit
- $121.95
- User PnL
- -$50
Aryna Sabalenka position
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $116.28
- Potential profit
- $116.28
- User PnL
- -$100
Over position
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $113.64
- Potential profit
- $113.64
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-03?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$100
Elena Rybakina position
Roland Garros WTA: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elena Rybakina
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $109.89
- Potential profit
- $109.89
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" make it into the IMDb Top 250?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $41.4
- Potential payout
- $107.53
- Potential profit
- $66.13
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$58.6
Yes position
Will "Dune: Messiah" make it into the IMDb Top 250?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $71.05
- Potential payout
- $105.26
- Potential profit
- $34.21
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$28.95
Yes position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $44.79
- Potential payout
- $69.44
- Potential profit
- $24.65
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$5.21
Over position
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 204.5
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.79
- Potential profit
- $65.79
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Current value
- $4.2
- Potential payout
- $64.1
- Potential profit
- $59.9
- Multiplier
- 15.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Over position
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.98
- Potential profit
- $60.98
- User PnL
- -$50
Over position
England vs. New Zealand: O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.04
- Potential profit
- $59.04
- User PnL
- -$50
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Knicks" this week?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.86
- Potential profit
- $57.86
- User PnL
- -$50
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Frances Tiafoe position
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoe
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $221.88
Alexander Zverev position
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.32
Felix Auger-Aliassime position
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilo
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.73
Over 3.5 position
Frances Tiafoe vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Total Sets O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.16
No position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.89
Alexander Zverev position
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.33
No position
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.35
Alexander Zverev position
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.21
Frances Tiafoe position
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoe
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.13
Novak Djokovic position
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.41
Alexander Zverev position
Roland Garros ATP: Tomas Machac vs Alexander Zverev
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.86
No position
Will Australia win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.05
No position
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-06-05?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.05
Jannik Sinner position
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.86
Felix Auger-Aliassime position
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashima
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.49
Andrey Rublev position
Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Andrey Rublev
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.49
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-05-26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.41
No position
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-01?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.65
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.93
No position
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-03?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.28
Flavio Cobolli position
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.28
Over position
Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.79
Over position
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.13
Over position
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 98.9% 54.94 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Yes 77% 222.16 shares
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 1.5Over 88% 160.76 shares
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 0.5Over 91% 141.76 shares
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5Over 73% 129.48 shares
- Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?No 83% 42.17 shares
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5Over 82% 60.98 shares
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 0.5Over 95% 52.63 shares
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5Over 66% 30.3 shares
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 204.5Over 76% 65.79 shares
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5Over 88% 113.64 shares
- Switzerland to score first vs. Qatar?Yes 94.5% 76.36 shares