Polymarket Trader

0x5Bd0bab98C18f6B129D740d62e51A6aAE637c562-1779610187641

0x5bd0bab98c18f6b129d740d62e51a6aae637c562

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $255.98
Realized PnL: $1.18K
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Iran successfully targets shipping on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $95.23
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.4K
Multiplier: 15.75x
User PnL: $41.29

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$90

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$75.69

Yes position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $999.99
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

Iran successfully targets shipping on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $41.99
Potential payout: $999.87
Potential profit: $957.87
Multiplier: 23.81x
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Iran successfully targets shipping on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $22.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $477.5
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Iran successfully targets shipping on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $31.25
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $468.74
Multiplier: 16.00x
User PnL: $6.25

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $65
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $434.99
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$20

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$81

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$201

Under position

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$100.5

Under position

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$68

No position

Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$54

No position

Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$30

Over position

Mensik vs. Zverev: Match O/U 38.5

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$8.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $520.2

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.67

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $116.48

No position

Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90

Under position

Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $82.63

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.4

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $54.52

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $47.05

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $41

Yes position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.9

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.8

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.15

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $6

Yes position

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.11

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.74

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Under position

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Under position

Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.98

No position

Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.2

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran successfully targets shipping on July 2?

Yes 5% 47.47 shares
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?

No 30% 100 shares
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5

Under 34% 200 shares
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5

Under 23% 150 shares
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5

Under 44% 150 shares
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Yes 9% 100 shares
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Yes 31% 100 shares
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5

Under 50% 49.1 shares
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?

No 59% 100 shares
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?

No 60% 100 shares
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5

Under 24.9% 150 shares
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5

Under 29% 100 shares