Yes position
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 11% and 14% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Ends Jun 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.9K
- Potential profit
- $7.9K
- User PnL
- -$135.93
Polymarket Trader
holdingyourbag
0x5be55d53dc885352a959dc2937ae3263d02aa7f8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.43
- Realized PnL
- $11.12K
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.4K
- Potential profit
- $4.4K
- User PnL
- -$47.72
Yes position
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.54K
- Potential profit
- $2.54K
- User PnL
- -$191.63
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.1K
- Potential profit
- $2.1K
- User PnL
- -$15.5
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.8K
- User PnL
- -$12.69
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.71K
- Potential profit
- $1.71K
- User PnL
- -$22.73
Yes position
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by between 3% and 6%?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.44K
- Potential profit
- $1.44K
- User PnL
- -$66.91
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.42K
- Potential profit
- $1.42K
- User PnL
- -$45.46
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$51.51
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get 110 million or more views on week 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$6.39
Yes position
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- User PnL
- -$46.1
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$90
Yes position
Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $995.03
- Potential profit
- $995.03
- User PnL
- -$37.83
Yes position
Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $968.12
- Potential profit
- $968.12
- User PnL
- -$36.38
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win 13 upper-level local government races?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $964.21
- Potential profit
- $964.21
- User PnL
- -$248.87
Yes position
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $5.43
- Potential payout
- $904.21
- Potential profit
- $898.78
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$66.6
No position
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $766.67
- Potential profit
- $766.67
- User PnL
- -$341
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $766.64
- Potential profit
- $766.64
- User PnL
- -$53
No position
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $714.91
- Potential profit
- $714.91
- User PnL
- -$336
Yes position
Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $667.96
- Potential profit
- $667.96
- User PnL
- -$33.91
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $465.58
- Potential profit
- $465.58
- User PnL
- -$56.46
Yes position
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election by between 10% and 20%?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.56K
Yes position
Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $811.73
Yes position
Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $729.82
Yes position
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 8% and 11% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Ends Jun 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $324.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230.9
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.42
Yes position
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $41.95
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Over position
England vs. Croatia: England O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $26
No position
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.38
Over position
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Under position
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$31.52
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?Yes 3.2% 100 shares
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?Yes 3.4% 200 shares
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?Yes 6% 100 shares
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?Yes 16% 100 shares
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?Yes 16% 100 shares
- England vs. Croatia: England O/U 2.5Over 40% 192.31 shares
- England vs. Croatia: England O/U 2.5Over 26% 384.62 shares
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5Over 48% 416.67 shares
- Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?No 6% 166.67 shares
- Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?No 44% 200 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Yes 48% 100 shares
- Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?No 57% 100 shares