No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $108.97
- Potential payout
- $1.68K
- Potential profit
- $1.57K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$320.14
Polymarket Trader
lucca123
0x5bf444df9cde4fd10b540e4ace33e60d19e5aa07
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $109.84
- Realized PnL
- -$521.86
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $0.87
- Potential payout
- $82.46
- Potential profit
- $81.6
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$8.24
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $72.9
- Potential profit
- $72.9
- User PnL
- -$7.29
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $10.48
No position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$141.56
Yes position
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$194.48
Yes position
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$196.29
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No 21.8% 426.2 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No 27.7% 491.12 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No 26.3% 759.19 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 57.2% 624.43 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 62% 149.65 shares
- Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 11% 82.46 shares
- Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 0.1% 3,591.2 shares
- Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 0.2% 2,759.58 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 55% 149.65 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 69.6% 70.43 shares
- Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 4.9% 1,029.02 shares
- Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 4% 1,263.86 shares