Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $4.35
- Potential payout
- $4.61
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.35
Polymarket Trader
TogawaSakiko214
0x5bf7e798eb15c19c9dbcbe678cfc0ba787316b55
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.7
- Realized PnL
- $11.59
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $1.56
- Potential payout
- $3.23
- Potential profit
- $1.66
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $1.11
- Potential payout
- $3.03
- Potential profit
- $1.92
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Algeria position
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.99
- Potential profit
- $2.99
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $1.69
- Potential payout
- $2.52
- Potential profit
- $0.83
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
United States position
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $2
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Morocco position
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Croatia position
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Brazil position
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Belgium position
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Norway position
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Mexico position
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Spain position
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Morocco position
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
United States position
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Spain position
Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
France position
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
England position
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Argentina position
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceUnited States 50% 2 shares
- Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceSpain 67% 1.49 shares
- Paraguay vs. France: Team to AdvanceFrance 93% 2.15 shares
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to AdvanceCroatia 58.8% 3.22 shares
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to AdvanceAlgeria 33.5% 2.99 shares
- Spain vs. Austria: Team to AdvanceSpain 86.5% 1.16 shares
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to AdvanceArgentina 91% 1.1 shares
- Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Yes 31% 3.23 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No 33% 3.03 shares
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to AdvanceUnited States 83% 1.2 shares
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to AdvanceCroatia 31% 3.23 shares
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to AdvanceBelgium 60% 1.67 shares