No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $612
- Potential profit
- $612
- User PnL
- -$391.68
Polymarket Trader
0xcaE24
0x5c166f48a75f75d847e5d52ec42d5662ae3f9267
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $335.55
- Realized PnL
- $259.28
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $335.55
- Potential payout
- $594
- Potential profit
- $258.45
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$3.03
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $440
- Potential profit
- $440
- User PnL
- -$391.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.48
No position
Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.8
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.58
No position
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.14
No position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.48
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $24.64
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.16
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No 64% 286.69 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?No 89% 440 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 57% 594 shares
- Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?No 85% 388 shares
- Iran coup attempt by June 30?No 88% 352 shares
- Iran leadership change by May 31?No 87% 356 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No 97.6% 1,015.98 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No 97.8% 551.78 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 99.3% 1,594 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 94% 1,594 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No 95.7% 1,567.76 shares