Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $35.02
- Potential payout
- $23.35K
- Potential profit
- $23.31K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$11.67
Polymarket Trader
Alenko810
0x5c1e13b3623ded6a2ad55bd5248a88599d0a6515
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $281.78
- Realized PnL
- $1.04K
- Win rate
- 30%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $36.42
- Potential payout
- $5.6K
- Potential profit
- $5.57K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$13.58
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 33%
- Current value
- $210.35
- Potential payout
- $638.38
- Potential profit
- $428.03
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- $105.65
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.86
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17.94
Yes position
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.87
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$27.36
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$38.7
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$43.75
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$81.3
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$83.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 0.2% 23,345 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 0.9% 5,602.4 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 34.2% 300.4 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.4% 938.78 shares
- Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 99.9% 1,860.15 shares
- Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 58% 345.79 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 25% 625 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 15% 310.52 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 32% 625 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 19% 310.53 shares
- Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 48% 437.44 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Yes 6.8% 927.81 shares