Polymarket Trader

OwlFund

0x5c27aa8edf662d06b625925f82ff0d2f4fc4bdb0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.24K
Realized PnL: $194.16
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.96K
Potential profit: $36.96K
User PnL: -$5.75K

Yes position

Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.25K
Potential profit: $11.25K
User PnL: -$1.73K

No position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.94K
Potential profit: $9.94K
User PnL: -$4.01K

No position

Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.27K
Potential profit: $5.27K
User PnL: -$735.51

No position

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.72K
Potential profit: $4.72K
User PnL: -$2.2K

No position

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.29K
Potential profit: $4.29K
User PnL: -$1.28K

Yes position

Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in over 2 hours and 30 minutes?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.11K
Potential profit: $4.11K
User PnL: -$548.91

No position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.21K
Potential profit: $3.21K
User PnL: -$634.33

Yes position

Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 2 hours and 15 minutes?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.3K
Potential profit: $2.3K
User PnL: -$101.31

Yes position

Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 15 minutes and 2 hours and 30 minutes?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $1.36K
User PnL: -$55.71

No position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $1.36K
User PnL: -$328.81

No position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $1.09K
User PnL: -$672.86

No position

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $521.14
Potential payout: $704.24
Potential profit: $183.1
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $170.58

No position

Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $620.45
Potential payout: $620.45
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $135.99

No position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $5 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $576
Potential profit: $576
User PnL: -$92.16

Yes position

Will any Minnesota politician be charged with fraud by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $304.37
Potential profit: $304.37
User PnL: -$63.92

No position

Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.07
Potential profit: $108.07
User PnL: -$5.35

No position

Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in less than 1 hour?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $100
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.3

No position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$12.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.68

No position

Grok 4.20 released by January 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.39

No position

Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.74

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.98

Yes position

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.1

Yes position

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.4

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.88

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?

No 59% 380.61 shares
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?

No 61% 20 shares
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?

No 34% 1,600 shares
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?

No 33% 1,027.53 shares
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?

No 32% 30 shares
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?

No 32% 501.04 shares
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?

No 31% 150.31 shares
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?

No 15% 1,309.93 shares
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in over 2 hours and 30 minutes?

Yes 19% 100 shares
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?

No 76% 27.44 shares
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 2 hours and 15 minutes?

Yes 4.5% 156.88 shares
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?

No 15% 100 shares